empty
13.03.2026 12:48 PM
GBP/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The GBP/USD pair has continued to decline for the fourth consecutive day. Pressure on the pound is intensifying due to mostly weak macroeconomic data from the United Kingdom, which, together with the strengthening U.S. dollar, is pushing spot quotes below the 1.3300 level.

According to data from the Office for National Statistics, economic growth in January showed no change, which came in below the forecast of 0.2% and worse than December's figure, when GDP increased by 0.1%.

At the same time, industrial production fell by 0.1% month-on-month, while manufacturing output showed a modest increase of 0.1%. This mixed dynamic is increasing pressure on the British pound and pulling the GBP/USD pair toward its March low.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar, reflected in the U.S. Dollar Index, continues to show steady growth, reaching its highest levels since late November and approaching the October 2025 highs. The American currency is being supported by expectations that a surge in inflation caused by geopolitical tensions will force the Federal Reserve to delay the start of a rate-cutting cycle.

An additional factor strengthening the dollar is the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, which is pushing investors toward safe-haven assets. Together, these factors are increasing pressure on the GBP/USD pair.

Investors are now focused on the upcoming release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, expected later during the North American session. In addition, the U.S. economic calendar will feature durable goods orders, the JOLTS job openings report, and preliminary data for consumer sentiment and inflation expectations from the University of Michigan.

Nevertheless, geopolitical risks remain the key driver for the market, continuing to determine the dynamics of the dollar and the behavior of the GBP/USD pair ahead of the weekend.

From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart remain negative. However, it is worth noting that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is close to the oversold zone, which suggests that sellers should be cautious when opening new positions, as a pullback or consolidation may occur. Nevertheless, the path of least resistance for the pair remains downward.

Ringkasan
Urgensi
Analitik
Irina Yanina
Mulai berdagang
Dapatkan keuntungan dari perubahan nilai mata uang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Unduh MetaTrader 4 dan buka perdagangan pertama Anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    GABUNG KONTES
  • Chancy Deposit
    Isi akun Anda sebesar $3000 dan dapatkan $8000 lebih banyak!
    Pada Maret kami mengundi $8000 dalam promo Chancy Deposit!
    Dapatkan kesempatan untuk menang dengan melakukan deposit sebesar $3000 pada akun trading Anda. Setelah memenuhi persyaratan ini, Anda telah menjadi partisipan promo.
    GABUNG KONTES
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up akun anda dengan dana minimal $500, daftar kontes, dan dapatkan peluang untuk memenangkan perangkat seluler.
    GABUNG KONTES
  • 30% Bonus
    Raih bonus 30% setiap kali anda top up
    DAPATKAN BONUS

Artikel yang direkomendasikan

Opsi Biner tidak tersedia untuk trading di wilayah ini
Tidak bisa bicara sekarang?
Tanyakan pertanyaan anda lewat chat.
Widget callback